Serie A, and Roma at Udinese has just kicked off with the score level at 0-0. The model gives Udinese a 15 percent chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet, so there is nothing else to read.
Serie A · · Stadio Friuli · every Serie A line
AS Roma vs Udinese: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreAS Roma 5, Udinese 2 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerAS Roma 63%
- Pregame Projected scoreAS Roma 2.0, Udinese 1.0
- Model spreadAS Roma −1 total 3
- Margin3 projected 1
- Total7 projected 3
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
AS Roma or Udinese: the bandwagon
Axle 63–15Market –
FinalPregame: UDI 26%Baseline: UDI 5.6% (−20.0)Big swing: 15.8 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ROMA | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| UDI | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
ROMA 54.1%UDI 45.9%
AS Roma at Udinese win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.0 points for UDI over the last 10:00
Big swing15.8 ptstoward ROMA at 10:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 1 goals in the final half
BaselineUDI 5.6%game average, −20.0 points from the pregame 25.6%
AS Roma vs Udinese live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ROMA | UDI |
|---|---|---|
| Possession | ROMA54.1% | UDI45.9% |
| Shots | ROMA14 | UDI15 |
| Shots on target | ROMA9 | UDI7 |
| Corners | ROMA4 | UDI7 |
| Passes completed | ROMA444/532 | UDI361/448 |
| Saves | ROMA5 | UDI4 |
| Fouls | ROMA9 | UDI11 |
| Offsides | ROMA0 | UDI1 |
| Yellow cards | ROMA1 | UDI1 |
| Red cards | ROMA0 | UDI0 |
AS Roma vs Udinese team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ROMA | UDI |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ROMA5 | UDI2 |
| Average win probability | ROMA94% | UDI6% |
| Longest scoring run | ROMA+4 | UDI+2 |
| Time leading | ROMA80:00 | UDI0:00 |
AS Roma vs Udinese odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 12:01 PM ET
AS Roma63%
Win chanceUdinese15%
SpreadROMA −1closing model spread
Total3
Moneyline−172away / +352draw / +586homeaway / draw / home
Line movementUDI win chance, 9 stored lines
No move
21%9%
Oct 29Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | UDI win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 12:01 PM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 12:01 PM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:28 PM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 5:53 PM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 3:34 PM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 15% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 1:03 AM ET | 15% | — |
- Ratings
- UDI 1379 · ROMA 1599
- Home spread
- +1
- Stored
- Oct 31, 12:01 PM ET · 2026-10-31 16:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: AS Roma 5, Udinese 2. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In Serie A a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:36 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 11:30 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
AS RomaUdinese
Neutrals only–
AS RomaUdinese
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Udinese–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
AS Roma vs Udinese prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the AS Roma a 1-point favorite, with a 63% chance to win and a 22% chance of a draw. The model total is 3. Ratings: Udinese 1369 (16th of 20), AS Roma 1610 (2nd). The Udinese are 1-7-2; the AS Roma are 7-0-3. The Udinese have won 0 of their last 5; the AS Roma 3 of their last 5. The two have met 6 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Udinese won 1, the AS Roma 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
AS Roma
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Manchester United | L 2–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Udinese | W 5–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cagliari | W 4–2 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Napoli | T 3–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Genoa | W 2–0 | – | – | matchup |
Udinese
Head-to-head
Injuries
AS Roma: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Udinese: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- AS Roma7-0-3 3rd
- AS Roma rating1610 2nd of 20, 10 games
- Udinese1-7-2 19th
- Udinese rating1369 16th of 20, 10 games
AS Roma 7-0-3
Serie A · 3rd
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ASROMA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ASROMA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ASROMA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ASROMA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the AS Roma bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Udinese 1-7-2
Serie A · 19th
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UDINESE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UDINESE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UDINESE
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $UDINESE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Udinese bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on AS Roma at Udinese
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