NFL MVP odds: Kalshi and Polymarket prices by candidate
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
NFL MVP odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
2026 seasonKalshi prices 49 candidates for the 2026 NFL MVP and Polymarket 29. Each venue's prices are scaled so the candidates it lists add up to 100% (listed prices added up to Kalshi's 139% and Polymarket's 105% before scaling), so the two compare on one basis. The widest gap is 7.8 points, on Josh Allen.
| Candidate | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Allen | 20% Kalshi · | 28% Polymarket · | 7.8 |
| Joe Burrow | 15% Kalshi · | 16% Polymarket · | 0.8 |
| Brock Purdy | 10% Kalshi · | 14% Polymarket · | 3.4 |
| Caleb Williams | 9% Kalshi · | 11% Polymarket · | 1.9 |
| Trevor Lawrence | 6.1% Kalshi · | 8% Polymarket · | 1.9 |
| Drake Maye | 3.2% Kalshi · | 4.1% Polymarket · | 0.9 |
| Jordan Love | 3.2% Kalshi · | 3.6% Polymarket · | 0.3 |
| Jared Goff | 1.8% Kalshi · | 3.1% Polymarket · | 1.3 |
| Jaxson Smith-Njigba | – | 3.1% Polymarket · | – |
| Patrick Mahomes | 1.8% Kalshi · | 3.1% Polymarket · | 1.3 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | 1.1% Kalshi · | 1.3% Polymarket · | 0.3 |
| Justin Herbert | 0.7% Kalshi · | 1.2% Polymarket · | 0.5 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | 1.1% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Jalen Hurts | 0.7% Kalshi · | 1% Polymarket · | 0.3 |
| Matthew Stafford | 0.7% Kalshi · | 1% Polymarket · | 0.2 |
| Bo Nix | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0.8% Polymarket · | 0.1 |
| A.J. Brown | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Aaron Rodgers | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Ashton Jeanty | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Baker Mayfield | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | 0.6 |
| Bijan Robinson | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0% Polymarket · | 0.7 |
| Bryce Young | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| C.J. Stroud | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Cam Ward | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| CeeDee Lamb | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Christian McCaffrey | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0% Polymarket · | 0.7 |
| Dak Prescott | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0.6% Polymarket · | 0.2 |
| Daniel Jones | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Derrick Henry | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0% Polymarket · | 0.7 |
| Deshaun Watson | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| J.J. McCarthy | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Jaxson Dart | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0.1% Polymarket · | 0.6 |
| Jayden Daniels | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Jonathan Taylor | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Josh Jacobs | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Justin Jefferson | 0.7% Kalshi · | 0% Polymarket · | 0.7 |
| Kenneth Walker III | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Kirk Cousins | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
| Kyler Murray | 0.7% Kalshi · | – | – |
12 more candidates are priced below 0.5% at both venues or past the 40 listed, and are not shown. Gap: the difference between the two venues' scaled prices in percentage points, where both price the candidate. A dash: that venue lists no price for the candidate.
What this page compares
The prices Kalshi and Polymarket display for each candidate to win the 2026 NFL MVP, each stamped with the time it was read. Bandwagon's model rates teams for games and does not price awards, so there is no model column here; markets are a comparison and never an input to the model. How the prices are read and de-vigged.
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NFL MVP odds from Kalshi and Polymarket for the 2026 season, candidate by candidate, with the time each price was read and the gap between the two. Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers.