West Virginia Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026
- Projected winnerAuburn 57%
- Projected scoreAuburn 74, West Virginia 71
- Model spreadAuburn −3 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
West Virginia Mountaineers or Auburn Tigers: the bandwagon
Axle 43–57Market –
West Virginia Mountaineers at Auburn Tigers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WVU | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WVU– | AUB– |
| Average win probability | WVU– | AUB– |
| Longest scoring run | WVU– | AUB– |
| Time leading | WVU– | AUB– |
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | AUB win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 57% | — |
- Ratings
- AUB 1605 · WVU 1580
- Home spread
- −3 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Auburn Tigers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 3-point favorite, with a 57% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1605 (43rd of 361), Mountaineers 1580 (65th). The Tigers are 0-0; the Mountaineers are 0-0. The Tigers have won 5 of their last 5; the Mountaineers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 0, the Mountaineers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Niagara Purple Eagles | W 91–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | W 89–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Creighton Bluejays | W 87–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs BYU Cougars | L 48–68 | – | – | matchup |
Auburn Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 92–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Illinois State Redbirds | W 88–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | W 75–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | W 91–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Alabama Jaguars | W 78–67 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn Tigers at West Virginia Mountaineers | 77–80 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
West Virginia Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Auburn Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mountaineers0-0 16th · -
- Mountaineers rating1580 65th of 361, 1 games
- Tigers0-0 3rd · -
- Tigers rating1605 43rd of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 16th · streak -
No stances yet today on $WVUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the West Virginia Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Auburn Tigers 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak -
No stances yet today on $AUBMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Auburn Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on West Virginia Mountaineers at Auburn Tigers
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Model: Auburn 57% to win. Projected score Auburn 74, West Virginia 71; spread Auburn −3, total 145.5. West Virginia Mountaineers at Auburn Tigers, Tue, Nov 17, 11:59 PM ET.