UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnerMassachusetts 71%
- Projected scoreMassachusetts 76, UMass Lowell 69
- Model spreadMassachusetts −7 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
UMass Lowell River Hawks or Massachusetts Minutemen: the bandwagon
Axle 29–71Market –
UMass Lowell River Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | UML | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UML– | MASS– |
| Average win probability | UML– | MASS– |
| Longest scoring run | UML– | MASS– |
| Time leading | UML– | MASS– |
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen odds
Every stored line
| Stored | MASS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 71% | +3 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 68% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 69% | +4 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- MASS 1510 · UML 1463
- Home spread
- −7
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
UMass Lowell River Hawks vs Massachusetts Minutemen prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Minutemen a 7-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Minutemen 1510 (161st of 361), River Hawks 1463 (237th). The Minutemen are 0-0; the River Hawks are 0-0. The Minutemen have won 3 of their last 5; the River Hawks 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Minutemen won 2, the River Hawks 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
UMass Lowell River Hawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UMBC Retrievers | L 69–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UAlbany Great Danes | W 81–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maine Black Bears | W 67–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UMBC Retrievers | L 60–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Vermont Catamounts | L 64–66 | – | – | matchup |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Troy Trojans | W 71–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Toledo Rockets | L 67–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami (OH) RedHawks | W 87–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio Bobcats | W 94–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bowling Green Falcons | L 62–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UMass Lowell River Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen | 60–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen | 96–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen | 77–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| UMass Lowell River Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen | 85–80 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
UMass Lowell River Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Massachusetts Minutemen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- River Hawks0-0 7th · -
- River Hawks rating1463 237th of 361, 0 games
- Minutemen0-0 8th · -
- Minutemen rating1510 161st of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UMLMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UMass Lowell River Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MASSMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Massachusetts Minutemen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Massachusetts 71% to win. Projected score Massachusetts 76, UMass Lowell 69; spread Massachusetts −7, total 145.5. UMass Lowell River Hawks at Massachusetts Minutemen, Wed, Nov 11, 7:00 PM ET.