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NCAA Men's Basketball · · HTC Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers prediction, odds and picks, November 9, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

South Carolina Upstate Spartans or Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 25–75Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CCU 75%
Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 9 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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South Carolina Upstate Spartans at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUPSTCCU
ScoreUPST–CCU–
Average win probabilityUPST–CCU–
Longest scoring runUPST–CCU–
Time leadingUPST–CCU–

South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Spartans25%
Win chance
Chanticleers75%
SpreadCCU −8.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+297away / −297homeaway / home
Line movementCCU win chance, 41 stored lines
+10 pts for CCU since Oct 29
82%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CCU 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CCU 77%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CCU 77%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CCU 77%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CCU 74%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: CCU 74%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: CCU 75%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CCU 75%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CCU 75%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredCCU winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET75%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET75%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET75%0
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET75%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET75%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET75%+1
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET74%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET74%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET74%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET77%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET77%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET77%+12
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
CCU 1468 · UPST 1392
Home spread
−8.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

SpartansChanticleers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Chanticleers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

South Carolina Upstate Spartans vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Chanticleers a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 75% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Chanticleers 1468 (230th of 361), Spartans 1392 (328th). The Chanticleers are 0-0; the Spartans are 0-0. The Chanticleers have won 3 of their last 5; the Spartans 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Chanticleers won 2, the Spartans 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at East Carolina PiratesL 70–83––matchup
vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' BulldogsL 64–65––matchup
vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' BulldogsW 71–61––matchup
at Radford HighlandersL 59–71––matchup
vs Presbyterian Blue HoseW 76–74––matchup

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Eastern Michigan EaglesL 70–71––matchup
vs Georgia Southern EaglesL 72–96––matchup
at James Madison DukesW 69–68––matchup
at Georgia State PanthersW 76–71––matchup
vs Marshall Thundering HerdW 79–75––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Carolina Upstate Spartans78–85––matchup
South Carolina Upstate Spartans at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers51–73––matchup
South Carolina Upstate Spartans at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers70–72––matchup
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Carolina Upstate Spartans78–79––matchup

Injuries

South Carolina Upstate Spartans: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Spartans0-0 8th · -
  • Spartans rating1392 328th of 361, 1 games
  • Chanticleers0-0 3rd · -
  • Chanticleers rating1468 230th of 361, 1 games

South Carolina Upstate Spartans 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UPSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UPSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UPSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UPSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Spartans roster, schedule and more

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CCUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Chanticleers roster, schedule and more

Takes on South Carolina Upstate Spartans at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Sign in to post a take on $UPSTMBBCCUMBB261110: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: Coastal Carolina 75% to win. Projected score Coastal Carolina 77, South Carolina Upstate 69; spread Coastal Carolina −8.5, total 145.5. South Carolina Upstate Spartans at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers, Mon, Nov 9, 7:00 PM ET.