Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerStephen F. Austin 82%
- Projected scoreStephen F. Austin 78, Rice 67
- Model spreadStephen F. Austin −11 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Rice Owls or Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | RICE | SFA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | RICE– | SFA– |
| Average win probability | RICE– | SFA– |
| Longest scoring run | RICE– | SFA– |
| Time leading | RICE– | SFA– |
Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SFA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | — |
- Ratings
- SFA 1590 · RICE 1446
- Home spread
- −11
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Rice Owls vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lumberjacks a 11-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Lumberjacks 1590 (55th of 361), Owls 1446 (260th). The Lumberjacks are 0-0; the Owls are 0-0. The Lumberjacks have won 3 of their last 5; the Owls 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Lumberjacks won 1, the Owls 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Rice Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | W 80–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Texas Mean Green | L 58–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Temple Owls | W 80–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Florida Bulls | L 56–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulane Green Wave | L 75–81 | – | – | matchup |
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 84–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs McNeese Cowboys | L 59–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W 60–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 76–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Christian Huskies | W 77–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks at Rice Owls | 81–69 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Rice Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Owls0-0 6th · -
- Owls rating1446 260th of 361, 0 games
- Lumberjacks0-0 10th · -
- Lumberjacks rating1590 55th of 361, 0 games
Rice Owls 0-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak -
No stances yet today on $RICEMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rice Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak -
No stances yet today on $SFAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Sign in to post a take on $RICEMBBSFAMBB261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Stephen F. Austin 82% to win. Projected score Stephen F. Austin 78, Rice 67; spread Stephen F. Austin −11, total 145.5. Rice Owls at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks, Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET.