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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Towson Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Towson Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds or Towson Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 20–80Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: TOW 80%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 12 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Towson Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Towson Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Towson Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatL-MDTOW
ScoreL-MD–TOW–
Average win probabilityL-MD–TOW–
Longest scoring runL-MD–TOW–
Time leadingL-MD–TOW–

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Towson Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Greyhounds20%
Win chance
Tigers80%
SpreadTOW −10.5
Total146
Moneyline+402away / −402homeaway / home
Line movementTOW win chance, 42 stored lines
−3 pts for TOW since Oct 29
89%74%
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: TOW 83%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: TOW 83%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: TOW 83%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET: TOW 81%Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET: TOW 81%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET: TOW 80%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: TOW 80%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: TOW 80%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredTOW winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET80%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET80%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET80%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET80%−1
Nov 3, 12:10 AM ET81%0
Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET81%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET81%+1
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET80%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET80%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET80%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET83%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET83%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET83%—
Ratings
TOW 1536 · L-MD 1412
Home spread
−10.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

GreyhoundsTigers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Towson Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Tigers a 10.5-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 146. Ratings: Tigers 1536 (117th of 361), Greyhounds 1412 (304th). The Tigers are 0-0; the Greyhounds are 0-0. The Tigers have won 3 of their last 5; the Greyhounds 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Greyhounds 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Georgetown HoyasL 58–80––matchup
at Colgate RaidersL 77–90––matchup
at Holy Cross CrusadersW 76–62––matchup
vs Navy MidshipmenL 51–78––matchup
at Colgate RaidersL 98–101––matchup

Towson Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Santa Clara BroncosL 70–89––matchup
at Hofstra PrideL 65–68––matchup
at Charleston CougarsW 81–56––matchup
vs Hampton PiratesW 74–68––matchup
at Stony Brook SeawolvesW 69–57––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Towson Tigers at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds67–56––matchup

Injuries

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Towson Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Greyhounds0-0 9th · -
  • Greyhounds rating1412 304th of 361, 1 games
  • Tigers0-0 11th · -
  • Tigers rating1536 117th of 361, 1 games

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LMDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LMDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LMDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $LMDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Greyhounds roster, schedule and more

Towson Tigers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TOWMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TOWMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TOWMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TOWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Towson Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Towson Tigers

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Model: Towson 80% to win. Projected score Towson 78, Loyola Maryland 68; spread Towson −10.5, total 146. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Towson Tigers, Thu, Nov 12, 7:00 PM ET.