Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita State Shockers prediction, odds and picks, November 14, 2026
- Projected winnerWichita State 74%
- Projected scoreWichita State 77, Austin Peay 69
- Model spreadWichita State −8 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Austin Peay Governors or Wichita State Shockers: the bandwagon
Axle 26–74Market –
Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita State Shockers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita State Shockers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | APSU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Score | APSU– | WICH– |
| Average win probability | APSU– | WICH– |
| Longest scoring run | APSU– | WICH– |
| Time leading | APSU– | WICH– |
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita State Shockers odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WICH win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:24 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:40 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 74% | — |
- Ratings
- WICH 1594 · APSU 1527
- Home spread
- −8
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Austin Peay Governors vs Wichita State Shockers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Shockers a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Shockers 1594 (52nd of 361), Governors 1527 (133rd). The Shockers are 0-0; the Governors are 0-0. The Shockers have won 3 of their last 5; the Governors 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Austin Peay Governors
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stetson Hatters | W 69–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bellarmine Knights | L 97–111 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Central Arkansas Bears | L 88–93 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Jacksonville Dolphins | W 65–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Florida Ospreys | W 77–76 | – | – | matchup |
Wichita State Shockers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 79–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oklahoma State Cowboys | W 96–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wyoming Cowboys | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | L 55–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 81–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Austin Peay Governors: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Wichita State Shockers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Governors0-0 2nd · -
- Governors rating1527 133rd of 361, 0 games
- Shockers0-0 13th · -
- Shockers rating1594 52nd of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -
No stances yet today on $APSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Austin Peay Governors bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak -
No stances yet today on $WICHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wichita State Shockers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers
Sign in to post a take on $APSUMBBWICHMBB261115: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Wichita State 74% to win. Projected score Wichita State 77, Austin Peay 69; spread Wichita State −8, total 145.5. Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers, Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ET.