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NCAA Women's Basketball · · McLeod Center · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line

Creighton Bluejays vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction, odds and picks, November 15, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Creighton Bluejays or Northern Iowa Panthers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 46–54Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: UNI 54%
Record 0-0
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Game clock
KickoffSunday, November 15 at 3:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Creighton Bluejays at Northern Iowa Panthers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0010:0020:0030:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Creighton Bluejays vs Northern Iowa Panthers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Creighton Bluejays vs Northern Iowa Panthers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatCREIUNI
ScoreCREI–UNI–
Average win probabilityCREI–UNI–
Longest scoring runCREI–UNI–
Time leadingCREI–UNI–

Creighton Bluejays vs Northern Iowa Panthers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Bluejays46%
Win chance
Panthers54%
SpreadUNI −4
Total131
Moneyline+119away / −119homeaway / home
Line movementUNI win chance, 19 stored lines
No move
61%49%
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: UNI 56%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: UNI 56%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: UNI 56%Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET: UNI 56%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: UNI 56%Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 54%Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET: UNI 54%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 54%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UNI 54%
Nov 2Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredUNI winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET54%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET54%0
Nov 3, 9:58 PM ET54%0
Nov 3, 8:58 PM ET54%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET54%0
Nov 2, 10:18 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET54%−2
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:26 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET56%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET56%+2
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 8:06 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 4:58 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 3:47 PM ET54%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET54%—
Ratings
UNI 1559 · CREI 1607
Home spread
−4
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BluejaysPanthers
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Panthers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Creighton Bluejays vs Northern Iowa Panthers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 4-point favorite at home, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 131. Ratings: Panthers 1559 (115th of 356), Bluejays 1607 (70th). The Panthers are 0-0; the Bluejays are 0-0. The Panthers have won 4 of their last 5; the Bluejays 4 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 1, the Bluejays 3.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Creighton Bluejays

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at South Dakota State JackrabbitsW 73–71––matchup
at UConn HuskiesL 51–100––matchup
at Marquette Golden EaglesW 57–44––matchup
at Xavier MusketeersW 73–71––matchup
vs Providence FriarsW 69–49––matchup

Northern Iowa Panthers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs St. Thomas TommiesW 67–59––matchup
at Murray State RacersL 59–72––matchup
vs Bradley BravesW 74–73––matchup
vs Drake BulldogsW 65–58––matchup
at Indiana State SycamoresW 92–73––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Northern Iowa Panthers at Creighton Bluejays51–50––matchup
Creighton Bluejays at Northern Iowa Panthers75–71––matchup
Northern Iowa Panthers at Creighton Bluejays62–115––matchup
Creighton Bluejays at Northern Iowa Panthers85–66––matchup

Injuries

Creighton Bluejays: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Northern Iowa Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bluejays0-0 4th · -
  • Bluejays rating1607 70th of 356, 1 games
  • Panthers0-0 8th · -
  • Panthers rating1559 115th of 356, 1 games

Creighton Bluejays 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 4th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CREIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CREIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CREIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CREIWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Creighton Bluejays bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bluejays roster, schedule and more

Northern Iowa Panthers 0-0

NCAA Division I women's basketball · 8th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UNIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UNIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UNIWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UNIWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Iowa Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Panthers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Creighton Bluejays at Northern Iowa Panthers

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Model: Northern Iowa 54% to win. Projected score Northern Iowa 67, Creighton 64; spread Northern Iowa −4, total 131. Creighton Bluejays at Northern Iowa Panthers, Sun, Nov 15, 3:00 PM ET.