East Carolina Pirates beat Charleston Southern Buccaneers 61-45, a 16-point margin at the final. The model had the Pirates at 90 percent before kickoff, and the crowd made no picks, so there is no crowd figure to compare.
NCAA Women's Basketball · · Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · every NCAA Division I women's basketball line
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs East Carolina Pirates: final score and how the prediction did, November 3, 2026
- Final scoreCharleston Southern 45, East Carolina 61 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerEast Carolina 90%
- Pregame Projected scoreEast Carolina 74, Charleston Southern 56
- Model spreadEast Carolina −18 total 130.5
- Margin16 projected 17.8
- Total106 projected 130.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Charleston Southern Buccaneers or East Carolina Pirates: the bandwagon
Axle 10–90Market –
FinalPregame: ECU 90%Baseline: ECU 97.0% (+7.0)Big swing: 3.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHSO | 15 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 45 |
| ECU | 19 | 15 | 19 | 8 | 61 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Charleston Southern Buccaneers at East Carolina Pirates win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for ECU over the last 5:00
Big swing3.9 ptstoward ECU at 3:17 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final quarter
BaselineECU 97.0%game average, +7.0 points from the pregame 90.0%
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs East Carolina Pirates live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CHSO | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CHSO16/49 | ECU20/64 |
| 3-pointers | CHSO2/12 | ECU9/35 |
| Free throws | CHSO11/18 | ECU12/22 |
| Rebounds | CHSO41 | ECU42 |
| Assists | CHSO7 | ECU10 |
| Turnovers | CHSO27 | ECU12 |
| Steals | CHSO5 | ECU14 |
| Blocks | CHSO1 | ECU5 |
| Points in the paint | CHSO28 | ECU18 |
| Fast-break points | CHSO2 | ECU18 |
| Fouls | CHSO16 | ECU21 |
| Largest lead | CHSO0 | ECU26 |
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs East Carolina Pirates team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CHSO | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CHSO45 | ECU61 |
| Average win probability | CHSO3% | ECU97% |
| Longest scoring run | CHSO+7 | ECU+9 |
| Time leading | CHSO0:00 | ECU37:37 |
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs East Carolina Pirates odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET
Buccaneers10%
Win chancePirates90%
SpreadECU −18closing model spread
Total130.5
Moneyline+904away / −904homeaway / home
Line movementECU win chance, 28 stored lines
+27 pts for ECU between Oct 29 and Nov 3
99%58%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
| Stored | ECU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:58 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:51 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:36 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:56 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:06 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 6:47 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:08 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 3:02 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:46 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:16 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:06 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 90% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 94% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 94% | +31 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 63% | — |
- Ratings
- ECU 1573 · CHSO 1338
- Home spread
- −18
- Stored
- Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-03 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Charleston Southern Buccaneers 45, East Carolina Pirates 61. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I women's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I women's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:37 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
BuccaneersPirates
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BuccaneersPirates
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Pirates–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs East Carolina Pirates prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Pirates a 18-point favorite at home, with a 90% chance to win. The model total is 130.5. Ratings: Pirates 1578 (96th of 356), Buccaneers 1333 (329th). The Pirates are 0-0; the Buccaneers are 0-0. The Pirates have won 3 of their last 5; the Buccaneers 0 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Pirates won 4, the Buccaneers 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Charleston Southern Buccaneers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 45–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Radford Highlanders | L 67–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Winthrop Eagles | L 55–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Longwood Lancers | L 69–96 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Radford Highlanders | L 78–92 | – | – | matchup |
East Carolina Pirates
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers | W 61–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | L 44–54 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 76–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | W 64–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 80–88 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers at East Carolina Pirates | 62–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers at East Carolina Pirates | 56–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers at East Carolina Pirates | 46–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| Charleston Southern Buccaneers at East Carolina Pirates | 31–64 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Charleston Southern Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
East Carolina Pirates: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Buccaneers0-0 2nd · -
- Buccaneers rating1333 329th of 356, 1 games
- Pirates0-0 2nd · -
- Pirates rating1578 96th of 356, 1 games
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHSOWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHSOWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHSOWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CHSOWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I women's basketball · 2nd · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ECUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ECUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ECUWBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ECUWBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Carolina Pirates bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Charleston Southern Buccaneers at East Carolina Pirates
Sign in to post a take on $CHSOWBBECUWBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Charleston Southern 45, East Carolina 61. Bandwagon's model had the East Carolina at 90% and projected East Carolina 74, Charleston Southern 56; spread East Carolina −18, total 130.5.