Santa Clara Broncos vs North Texas Mean Green prediction, odds and picks, November 11, 2026
- Projected winnereven
- Projected scoreNorth Texas 73, Santa Clara 72
- Model spreadNorth Texas −1 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Santa Clara Broncos or North Texas Mean Green: the bandwagon
Axle 50–50Market –
Santa Clara Broncos at North Texas Mean Green win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Santa Clara Broncos vs North Texas Mean Green live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Santa Clara Broncos vs North Texas Mean Green team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | SCU | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SCU– | UNT– |
| Average win probability | SCU– | UNT– |
| Longest scoring run | SCU– | UNT– |
| Time leading | SCU– | UNT– |
Santa Clara Broncos vs North Texas Mean Green odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UNT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 2:23 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:39 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | +3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 48% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 48% | −17 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- UNT 1532 · SCU 1640
- Home spread
- −1
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Santa Clara Broncos vs North Texas Mean Green prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 50% for the Mean Green. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Mean Green 1532 (123rd of 361), Broncos 1640 (25th). The Mean Green are 0-0; the Broncos are 0-0. The Mean Green have won 3 of their last 5; the Broncos 3 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Mean Green won 0, the Broncos 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Santa Clara Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Towson Tigers | W 89–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kentucky Wildcats | L 84–89 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 68–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Saint Mary's Gaels | W 76–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pacific Tigers | W 76–68 | – | – | matchup |
North Texas Mean Green
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 84–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida Atlantic Owls | W 74–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rice Owls | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Charlotte 49ers | L 79–80 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Texas Mean Green at Santa Clara Broncos | 60–63 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Santa Clara Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
North Texas Mean Green: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Broncos0-0 9th · -
- Broncos rating1640 25th of 361, 1 games
- Mean Green0-0 5th · -
- Mean Green rating1532 123rd of 361, 0 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -
No stances yet today on $SCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Santa Clara Broncos bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -
No stances yet today on $UNTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the North Texas Mean Green bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Santa Clara Broncos at North Texas Mean Green
Sign in to post a take on $SCUMBBUNTMBB261112: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: even. Projected score North Texas 73, Santa Clara 72; spread North Texas −1, total 145.5. Santa Clara Broncos at North Texas Mean Green, Wed, Nov 11, 8:00 PM ET.