Loyola Marymount Lions vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction, odds and picks, November 12, 2026
- Projected winnerSouth Alabama 56%
- Projected scoreSouth Alabama 74, Loyola Marymount 71
- Model spreadSouth Alabama −3 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Loyola Marymount Lions or South Alabama Jaguars: the bandwagon
Axle 44–56Market –
Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs South Alabama Jaguars live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs South Alabama Jaguars team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | LMU | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | LMU– | USA– |
| Average win probability | LMU– | USA– |
| Longest scoring run | LMU– | USA– |
| Time leading | LMU– | USA– |
Loyola Marymount Lions vs South Alabama Jaguars odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 56% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET | 56% | −4 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 60% | +6 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 54% | — |
- Ratings
- USA 1495 · LMU 1472
- Home spread
- −3 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Loyola Marymount Lions vs South Alabama Jaguars prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Jaguars a 3-point favorite, with a 56% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Jaguars 1495 (187th of 361), Lions 1472 (221st). The Jaguars are 0-0; the Lions are 0-0. The Jaguars have won 1 of their last 5; the Lions 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Loyola Marymount Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs San Diego Toreros | L 62–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | L 66–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | W 67–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego Toreros | W 77–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Pepperdine Waves | L 89–90 | – | – | matchup |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Ohio Bobcats | L 77–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Auburn Tigers | L 67–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 85–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L 55–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | W 89–54 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Loyola Marymount Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Alabama Jaguars: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Lions0-0 2nd · -
- Lions rating1472 221st of 361, 0 games
- Jaguars0-0 11th · -
- Jaguars rating1495 187th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -
No stances yet today on $LMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Marymount Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak -
No stances yet today on $USAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Alabama Jaguars bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars
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Model: South Alabama 56% to win. Projected score South Alabama 74, Loyola Marymount 71; spread South Alabama −3, total 145.5. Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama Jaguars, Thu, Nov 12, 8:00 PM ET.