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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Stegeman Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Jacksonville Dolphins or Georgia Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 18–82Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: UGA 82%
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Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffMonday, November 16 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Jacksonville Dolphins at Georgia Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Georgia Bulldogs live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Georgia Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatJAXUGA
ScoreJAX–UGA–
Average win probabilityJAX–UGA–
Longest scoring runJAX–UGA–
Time leadingJAX–UGA–

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Georgia Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 11 h ago
Dolphins18%
Win chance
Bulldogs82%
SpreadUGA −11
Total145.5
Moneyline+447away / −447homeaway / home
Line movementUGA win chance, 8 stored lines
No move
87%76%
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: UGA 82%Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET: UGA 82%Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET: UGA 82%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: UGA 82%Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET: UGA 82%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: UGA 82%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UGA 82%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: UGA 82%
Nov 3Now
Every stored line
StoredUGA winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET82%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET82%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET82%0
Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET82%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET82%0
Nov 3, 9:13 PM ET82%0
Nov 3, 8:53 PM ET82%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET82%—
Ratings
UGA 1588 · JAX 1447
Home spread
−11
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

DolphinsBulldogs
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Jacksonville Dolphins vs Georgia Bulldogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 11-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1588 (58th of 361), Dolphins 1447 (259th). The Bulldogs are 0-0; the Dolphins are 0-0. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Dolphins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 1, the Dolphins 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Jacksonville Dolphins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Bellarmine KnightsL 79–82––matchup
at North Florida OspreysW 85–61––matchup
vs Stetson HattersW 89–85––matchup
vs Austin Peay GovernorsL 61–65––matchup
at Florida Gulf Coast EaglesL 84–86––matchup

Georgia Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs North Carolina Central EaglesW 78–62––matchup
vs Saint Louis BillikensL 77–102––matchup
vs Ole Miss RebelsL 72–76––matchup
at Mississippi State BulldogsW 102–96––matchup
vs Alabama Crimson TideW 98–88––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Jacksonville Dolphins at Georgia Bulldogs56–102––matchup

Injuries

Jacksonville Dolphins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Georgia Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Dolphins0-0 4th · -
  • Dolphins rating1447 259th of 361, 0 games
  • Bulldogs0-0 5th · -
  • Bulldogs rating1588 58th of 361, 1 games

Jacksonville Dolphins 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JAXMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JAXMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $JAXMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $JAXMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Jacksonville Dolphins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Dolphins roster, schedule and more

Georgia Bulldogs 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UGAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UGAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UGAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UGAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Jacksonville Dolphins at Georgia Bulldogs

Sign in to post a take on $JAXMBBUGAMBB261117: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Georgia 82% to win. Projected score Georgia 78, Jacksonville 67; spread Georgia −11, total 145.5. Jacksonville Dolphins at Georgia Bulldogs, Mon, Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET.