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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Jadwin Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Hofstra Pride vs Princeton Tigers prediction, odds and picks, November 5, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Hofstra Pride or Princeton Tigers: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Pride▲ Hop on▼ Jump off
Tigers▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 53–47Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: PRIN 47%
Hofstra Pride
Record 1-0
––
Princeton Tigers
Record 0-0
Game clock
KickoffThursday, November 5 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Hofstra Pride at Princeton Tigers win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Hofstra Pride vs Princeton Tigers live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Hofstra Pride vs Princeton Tigers team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatHOFPRIN
ScoreHOF–PRIN–
Average win probabilityHOF–PRIN–
Longest scoring runHOF–PRIN–
Time leadingHOF–PRIN–

Hofstra Pride vs Princeton Tigers odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 8 h ago
Pride53%
Win chance
Tigers47%
SpreadPRIN −0.5
Total145.5
Moneyline−111away / +111homeaway / home
Line movementPRIN win chance, 31 stored lines
−18 pts for PRIN since Oct 29
71%37%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: PRIN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: PRIN 42%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: PRIN 42%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: PRIN 42%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: PRIN 47%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: PRIN 47%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredPRIN winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET47%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET47%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET47%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET47%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET47%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET47%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET47%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET47%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET47%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET47%+5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET42%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET42%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET42%−23
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
PRIN 1465 · HOF 1590
Home spread
−0.5
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

PrideTigers
Neutrals only–
PrideTigers
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Tigers–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Hofstra Pride vs Princeton Tigers prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Pride the favorite, with a 53% chance to win; its spread is Tigers −0.5. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Tigers 1465 (235th of 361), Pride 1590 (56th). The Tigers are 0-0; the Pride are 1-0. The Tigers have won 1 of their last 5; the Pride 4 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Tigers won 1, the Pride 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Hofstra Pride

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Alabama Crimson TideL 70–90––matchup
vs Monmouth HawksW 75–69––matchup
vs Towson TigersW 68–65––matchup
vs William & Mary TribeW 92–61––matchup
vs Drexel DragonsW 62–51––matchup

Princeton Tigers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Yale BulldogsL 53–78––matchup
vs Dartmouth Big GreenW 82–61––matchup
vs Harvard CrimsonL 56–58––matchup
at Brown BearsL 71–80––matchup
vs Columbia LionsL 65–75––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Princeton Tigers at Hofstra Pride74–67––matchup
Hofstra Pride at Princeton Tigers83–77––matchup

Injuries

Hofstra Pride: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Princeton Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Pride1-0 1st · W1
  • Pride rating1590 56th of 361, 0 games
  • Tigers0-0 7th · -
  • Tigers rating1465 235th of 361, 0 games

Hofstra Pride 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1

–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $HOFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $HOFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $HOFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $HOFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Hofstra Pride bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Pride roster, schedule and more

Princeton Tigers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PRINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PRINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PRINMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PRINMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Princeton Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Tigers roster, schedule and more

Takes on Hofstra Pride at Princeton Tigers

Sign in to post a take on $HOFMBBPRINMBB261106: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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