Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction, odds and picks, November 16, 2026
- Projected winnerKent State 79%
- Projected scoreKent State 78, Eastern Kentucky 68
- Model spreadKent State −9.5 total 145.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Eastern Kentucky Colonels or Kent State Golden Flashes: the bandwagon
Axle 21–79Market –
Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Kent State Golden Flashes win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs Kent State Golden Flashes live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs Kent State Golden Flashes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | EKU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | EKU– | KENT– |
| Average win probability | EKU– | KENT– |
| Longest scoring run | EKU– | KENT– |
| Time leading | EKU– | KENT– |
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs Kent State Golden Flashes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | KENT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:25 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:28 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 10:13 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:48 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 9:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | — |
- Ratings
- KENT 1539 · EKU 1429
- Home spread
- −9.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Eastern Kentucky Colonels vs Kent State Golden Flashes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Golden Flashes a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 79% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Golden Flashes 1539 (105th of 361), Colonels 1429 (279th). The Golden Flashes are 0-0; the Colonels are 0-0. The Golden Flashes have won 2 of their last 5; the Colonels 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Flashes won 1, the Colonels 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stetson Hatters | L 76–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Lipscomb Bisons | L 77–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bellarmine Knights | W 95–92 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs West Georgia Wolves | W 81–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Alabama Lions | L 78–84 | – | – | matchup |
Kent State Golden Flashes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | L 75–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Illinois State Redbirds | L 58–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Akron Zips | L 68–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio Bobcats | W 86–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Michigan Broncos | W 86–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Kent State Golden Flashes | 78–93 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Eastern Kentucky Colonels: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kent State Golden Flashes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Colonels0-0 4th · -
- Colonels rating1429 279th of 361, 0 games
- Golden Flashes0-0 7th · -
- Golden Flashes rating1539 105th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak -
No stances yet today on $EKUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -
No stances yet today on $KENTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kent State Golden Flashes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Kent State Golden Flashes
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Model: Kent State 79% to win. Projected score Kent State 78, Eastern Kentucky 68; spread Kent State −9.5, total 145.5. Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Kent State Golden Flashes, Mon, Nov 16, 7:00 PM ET.